16–20 Jun 2025
THotel, Cagliari, Sardinia, Italy
Europe/Rome timezone

🎙️ Transformers + Normalizing Flows for parameter estimation of overlapping gravitational waves in next generation detectors

18 Jun 2025, 16:39
20m
T1c

T1c

Parallel talk Inference & Uncertainty 🔀 Inference & Uncertainty

Speaker

Federico De Santi (Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare)

Description

In the next decade, the third generation of ground-based gravitational wave detectors, such as the european Einstein Telescope, is expected to revolutionize our understanding of compact binary mergers. With a 10 factor improvement in sensitivity and an extended range towards lower frequencies, Einstein Telescope will enable the detection of longer-duration signals from binary black hole and binary neutron star coalescences, with expected rates up to ~10^5 events per year. However, the inevitable presence of overlapping signals poses a severe challenge to parameter estimation analysis pipelines.
In this talk, I will describe a foundation model for parameter estimation, leveraging the synergy of two state-of-the-art machine learning architectures: Transformers and Normalizing Flows. The Transformer component efficiently encodes the complex temporal structures of overlapping signals, capturing long-range dependencies, while Normalizing Flows provide a flexible, efficient representation of the high-dimensional posterior distributions of source parameters.
I will show how this hybrid approach enables rapid and accurate inference, even for low-SNR and highly correlated events. By significantly reducing the computational cost while maintaining accuracy, this framework represents a crucial step toward integrating machine learning-driven inference into real-data analysis pipelines for third-generation detectors. I further present performance benchmarks on simulated data, showcasing the potential for real-time parameter estimation, and discuss future developments.

AI keywords Transformers, Normalizing Flows, Simulation based inference

Primary authors

Prof. Elena Cuoco (University of Bologna) Federico De Santi (Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare) Prof. Ik Siong Heng (University of Glasgow) Dr Lucia Papalini (University of Pisa and INFN Pisa) Prof. Massimiliano Razzano (University of Pisa and INFN Pisa)

Presentation materials