16–20 Jun 2025
THotel, Cagliari, Sardinia, Italy
Europe/Rome timezone

Robustly Dissecting the Gamma-Ray Sky at High Latitudes with Simulation-Based Inference

Not scheduled
20m
THotel, Cagliari, Sardinia, Italy

THotel, Cagliari, Sardinia, Italy

Via dei Giudicati, 66, 09131 Cagliari (CA), Italy
Poster + Flashtalk Inference & Uncertainty

Speaker

Christopher Eckner (University of Nova Gorica)

Description

Over the past 16 years, the Fermi Large Area Telescope (LAT) has significantly advanced our view of the GeV gamma-ray sky, yet several key questions remain - such as the nature of the isotropic diffuse background, the properties of the Galactic pulsar population, and the origin of the GeV excess towards the Galactic Centre. Addressing these challenges requires sophisticated astrophysical modelling and robust statistical methods capable of handling high-dimensional parameter spaces.
In this work, we analyse 14 years of high-latitude ($|b|>30^{\circ}$) Fermi-LAT data in the 1–10 GeV range using simulation-based inference (SBI) via neural ratio estimation. This approach allows us to detect individual gamma-ray sources and derive a source catalogue with estimated positions and fluxes that are consistent with the bright portion of the Fermi-LAT collaboration's 4FGL catalogue. Additionally, we reconstruct the source-count distribution $\mathrm{d}N/\mathrm{d}S$ in both parametric and non-parametric forms, achieving good agreement with previous literature results and detected sources. We also quantitatively validate our gamma-ray emission simulator via an anomaly detection technique demonstrating that the synthetic data closely reproduces the complexity of the real observations.
This study highlights the practical utility of SBI for complex, high-dimensional problems in gamma-ray astronomy and lays the groundwork for its application to more challenging sky regions or data from next-generation facilities such as the Cherenkov Telescope Array Observatory.

AI keywords simulation-based inference; neural ratio estimation; uncertainty quantification; anomaly detection

Primary authors

Christoph Weniger (GRAPPA, University of Amsterdam) Christopher Eckner (University of Nova Gorica) Florian List (University of Vienna) Francesca Calore (LAPTh, CNRS) Noemi Anau Montel (Max Planck Institute for Astrophysics)

Presentation materials

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