4–6 Oct 2023
Gran Sasso Science Institute
Europe/Rome timezone

Potential biases and prospects for the Hubble constant estimation from a joint EM and GW analysis of neutron star merger

5 Oct 2023, 15:30
15m
Gran Sasso Science Institute

Gran Sasso Science Institute

Viale Francesco Crispi, 7 67100 L’Aquila (AQ), Italy

Speaker

Giulia Gianfagna (INAF-IAPS, Roma)

Description

GW170817 is an outstanding event as it paved the way for multi-messenger astrophysics. It is a binary neutron stars merger, that saw the detection of a gravitational wave (GW), a gamma ray burst (GRB) and an afterglow. Such events are interesting also from a cosmological point of view, as we can derive an Hubble constant ($H_0$) measurement (the current expansion rate of the Universe), independently from any cosmic distance ladder. In this work we estimate $H_0$ using the broad band afterglow emission and the relativistic jet centroid motion from the very-large-baseline interferometry (VLBI) and HST images of GW170817. Compared to previous attempts, we join these two messengers with the GW in a simultaneous Bayesian fit. We focus on the $H_0$ estimation robustness depending on the unknown jet structure and the possible presence of a late time flux excess. We find $H_0 = 70.1^{+4.6}_{−4.4}\ km/s/Mpc$, a viewing angle of 18 deg and a distance of 44 Mpc, fitting the complete data set. This $H_0$ measure is about 3 times more precise than a GW-only estimation. Not including the jet motion in the analysis, the $H_0$ posterior peaks above 90 $km/s/Mpc$, because of the preference for high viewing angles, caused by the possible presence of a late-time excess in the afterglow flux. In general, the afterglow, no matter the jet structure, tends to prefer high viewing angles, leading to an unreliable $H_0$ measurements. Therefore, careful modeling of the afterglow is needed. Moreover, the larger the number of counterparts included in the analysis, the more robust and reliable is $H_0$.

Primary authors

Giulia Gianfagna (INAF-IAPS, Roma) Luigi Piro (IAPS/INAF)

Co-authors

Francesco Pannarale (INFN) Hendrik van Eerten (University of Bath) Fulvio Ricci (Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare) Geoffrey Ryan (Perimeter Institute for Theoretical Physics)

Presentation materials